Wolfram’s A New Kind of Science Upsets Climate Models and Weather Forecasting
Posted by pwl on August 25, 2010
Stephen Wolfram proves with his New Kind of Science that certain systems generate randomness from within the system – no outside randomness needed, no randomness in initial conditions needed. The system itself generates randomness thus making it unpredictable as a first principle of science. Oh, and these systems can be incredibly simple and yet generate inherent randomness from within the systems. Let that sink in.
The implication for climate and weather prediction is that one can’t predict due to the inherent randomness of the Natural systems. No matter how elaborate you make your “climate model” you’ll never be able to predict it with any accuracy.
Wolfram makes his case with his book A New Kind of Science, he presents the key ideas in this video. Enjoy learning. Oh, Rule 30 is one simple system that generates it’s own randomness. You’ll want to read chapter two of the book, http://www.wolframscience.com/nksonline/page-23, for the proof. The entire book is amazing. 1/2 of it is references.
Wolfram’s work has very serious implications for climate science and weather forecasting.